← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hope College-1.61+4.13vs Predicted
-
2Grand Valley State University-1.45+2.71vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan-0.430.00vs Predicted
-
4Michigan Technological University-1.31+0.62vs Predicted
-
5University of Saint Thomas-0.65-1.73vs Predicted
-
6Western Michigan University-2.57+0.76vs Predicted
-
7University of Notre Dame-1.22-2.83vs Predicted
-
8Michigan State University-1.53-3.22vs Predicted
-
9University of Illinois-5.14+0.46vs Predicted
-
10Saginaw Valley State University-6.34+0.42vs Predicted
-
11University of Iowa-5.43-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.13Hope College-1.610.1%1st Place
-
4.71Grand Valley State University-1.450.1%1st Place
-
3.0University of Michigan-0.430.2%1st Place
-
4.62Michigan Technological University-1.310.1%1st Place
-
3.27University of Saint Thomas-0.650.2%1st Place
-
6.76Western Michigan University-2.570.0%1st Place
-
4.17University of Notre Dame-1.220.1%1st Place
-
4.78Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
-
9.46University of Illinois-5.140.0%1st Place
-
10.42Saginaw Valley State University-6.340.0%1st Place
-
9.68University of Iowa-5.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmund Redman | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 11.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 8.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Stone | 24.7% | 21.4% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 22.6% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigale Airo | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 41.3% | 9.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack O'Connor | 13.6% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 5.7% | 38.7% | 35.2% | 16.5% |
| Morgan Lovegrove | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 12.4% | 23.2% | 62.0% |
| Zachary Warren | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 33.5% | 39.5% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.