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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.54vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+5.76vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.16vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.84+3.20vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+2.44vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+5.09vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18+2.61vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+2.91vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.54+5.62vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.56-4.65vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.71+0.20vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.15-2.90vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.24+0.44vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.37-1.55vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.05-5.12vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University1.86-8.23vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.05-3.30vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.73-10.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Yale University2.5516.2%1st Place
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7.76Harvard University1.906.9%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.6%1st Place
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7.2Bowdoin College1.846.9%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College2.106.9%1st Place
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11.09St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.5%1st Place
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9.61Northeastern University1.184.3%1st Place
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10.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.2%1st Place
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14.62Northwestern University-0.540.8%1st Place
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5.35Boston College2.5612.9%1st Place
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11.2Fordham University0.713.2%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University1.153.8%1st Place
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13.44University of Vermont0.241.6%1st Place
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12.45Boston University0.372.5%1st Place
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9.88University of Hawaii1.054.7%1st Place
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7.77Georgetown University1.866.3%1st Place
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13.7Florida State University0.051.4%1st Place
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7.77Tulane University1.737.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 16.2% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 31.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 17.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Niah Ford | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 21.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.