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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.43+1.95vs Predicted
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2Hope College-1.61+3.04vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas-0.65+0.41vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.31+0.62vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-1.45-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.22-1.67vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.53-2.25vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.57-1.38vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-5.14+0.45vs Predicted
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10University of Iowa-5.43-0.32vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-6.34-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of Michigan-0.430.3%1st Place
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5.04Hope College-1.610.1%1st Place
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3.41University of Saint Thomas-0.650.2%1st Place
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4.62Michigan Technological University-1.310.1%1st Place
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4.74Grand Valley State University-1.450.1%1st Place
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4.33University of Notre Dame-1.220.1%1st Place
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4.75Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
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6.62Western Michigan University-2.570.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Illinois-5.140.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Iowa-5.430.0%1st Place
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10.41Saginaw Valley State University-6.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Stone | 25.8% | 21.6% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Redman | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 18.9% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack O'Connor | 11.2% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigale Airo | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 38.2% | 9.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 39.1% | 37.5% | 14.5% |
| Zachary Warren | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 3.9% | 32.1% | 38.3% | 22.6% |
| Morgan Lovegrove | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 12.3% | 22.5% | 62.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.