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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.86+1.63vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.33+0.12vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.63+1.84vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-1.10+1.51vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.08+0.47vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.27-1.67vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.49-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63University of Wisconsin0.860.3%1st Place
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2.12Northwestern University1.330.4%1st Place
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4.84Marquette University-0.630.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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5.47Purdue University-1.080.0%1st Place
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4.33Michigan State University-0.270.1%1st Place
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3.1University of Michigan0.490.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 27.0% | 24.5% | 21.1% | 16.7% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Delaney Smith | 38.3% | 31.4% | 17.1% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Jenna Kozal | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 21.2% | 24.5% | 17.0% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.4% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 25.1% | 35.5% |
| Camille Imbler | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 24.0% | 34.4% |
| Dominique DeLano | 7.2% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 10.1% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 17.2% | 20.7% | 24.1% | 18.8% | 12.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.