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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.86+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-1.10+3.47vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.27+1.32vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.49-0.79vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.33-2.84vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.63-1.16vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.08-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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5.47University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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4.32Michigan State University-0.270.1%1st Place
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3.21University of Michigan0.490.2%1st Place
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2.16Northwestern University1.330.4%1st Place
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4.84Marquette University-0.630.1%1st Place
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5.3Purdue University-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 24.8% | 26.1% | 22.2% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Molly Sheridan | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 24.8% | 36.2% |
| Dominique DeLano | 7.4% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 20.4% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 10.2% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 15.9% | 19.5% | 23.8% | 19.6% | 12.9% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Delaney Smith | 39.5% | 28.3% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 24.2% | 22.6% | 18.1% |
| Camille Imbler | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 24.0% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.