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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+0.65vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.27+1.33vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.63+0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.10+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.49-2.79vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.08-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Northwestern University1.330.4%1st Place
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2.65University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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4.33Michigan State University-0.270.1%1st Place
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4.89Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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3.21University of Michigan0.490.2%1st Place
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5.31Purdue University-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 41.1% | 27.8% | 16.8% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 24.4% | 26.6% | 23.0% | 15.2% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Dominique DeLano | 7.4% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 21.4% | 22.6% | 15.4% | 11.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 4.4% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 21.0% | 24.0% | 19.0% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 17.2% | 23.0% | 36.5% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 16.4% | 19.4% | 23.0% | 19.3% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 1.4% |
| Camille Imbler | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 26.5% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.