← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.43+1.24vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan0.10+0.62vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University-1.60+2.09vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University-0.50-0.52vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-0.80-1.03vs Predicted
-
6Michigan State University-1.37-1.26vs Predicted
-
7University of Illinois-2.33-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.24University of Wisconsin0.430.4%1st Place
-
2.62University of Michigan0.100.3%1st Place
-
5.09Marquette University-1.600.1%1st Place
-
3.48Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
-
3.97Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
-
4.74Michigan State University-1.370.1%1st Place
-
5.86University of Illinois-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 37.9% | 26.6% | 17.8% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 25.6% | 27.4% | 21.6% | 14.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Eva Paschke | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 20.2% | 26.6% | 23.2% |
| Nok In Chan | 14.1% | 16.3% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 10.6% | 1.7% |
| Anna Kovacs | 9.0% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 21.0% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 6.1% |
| Kate Crannell | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 21.3% | 23.2% | 16.5% |
| Bahda Hoang | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 19.2% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.