← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Michigan State University-1.37+3.64vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin0.43+0.21vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan0.10-0.36vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University-0.80-0.04vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-0.50-1.53vs Predicted
-
6University of Illinois-2.42+0.11vs Predicted
-
7Marquette University-1.60-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.64Michigan State University-1.370.1%1st Place
-
2.21University of Wisconsin0.430.4%1st Place
-
2.64University of Michigan0.100.3%1st Place
-
3.96Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
-
3.47Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
-
6.11University of Illinois-2.420.0%1st Place
-
4.97Marquette University-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Crannell | 6.3% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 23.8% | 14.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 37.4% | 29.4% | 16.6% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 27.2% | 24.6% | 20.7% | 16.1% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Anna Kovacs | 9.8% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 22.6% | 13.4% | 5.7% |
| Nok In Chan | 13.0% | 17.6% | 20.9% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Katie Benstead | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 18.3% | 59.0% |
| Eva Paschke | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 32.4% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.