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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.43+1.20vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.80+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.10-0.37vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.60+1.11vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.50-1.50vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.37-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-2.42-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Wisconsin0.430.4%1st Place
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3.87Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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2.63University of Michigan0.100.3%1st Place
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5.11Marquette University-1.600.0%1st Place
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3.5Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.74Michigan State University-1.370.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Illinois-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 38.6% | 28.9% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Anna Kovacs | 10.1% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 12.3% | 5.4% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 26.1% | 26.5% | 21.7% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Eva Paschke | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 30.1% | 21.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 13.1% | 17.6% | 20.5% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 9.0% | 3.4% |
| Kate Crannell | 6.2% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 22.0% | 25.0% | 14.6% |
| Katie Benstead | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 19.3% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.