← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University1.63+0.81vs Predicted
-
2Penn State Behrend0.24+1.59vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech0.18+0.68vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary0.21-0.33vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland-0.58-0.08vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech0.18-2.32vs Predicted
-
7American University-1.07-1.30vs Predicted
-
8Catholic University of America-1.56-1.55vs Predicted
-
10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.81Christopher Newport University1.630.5%1st Place
-
3.59Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
-
3.68Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
-
3.67William and Mary0.210.1%1st Place
-
4.92University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
-
3.68Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
-
5.7American University-1.070.0%1st Place
-
6.45Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
-
6.18University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 52.3% | 25.9% | 14.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 12.0% | 18.2% | 20.6% | 19.6% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 11.7% | 16.9% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 11.8% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 20.5% | 16.5% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 5.0% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 11.7% | 16.9% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 21.8% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 22.4% | 40.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 1.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 19.4% | 24.7% | 28.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.