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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.84+6.15vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.39vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+8.08vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+7.03vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+2.27vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56-0.67vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.90+0.85vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.86-0.22vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.24+4.45vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.15-0.58vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.73-3.27vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-2.21vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.05-3.18vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-6.80vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-2.58vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.05-2.44vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.71-5.81vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University-0.54-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Bowdoin College1.847.9%1st Place
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4.39Yale University2.5517.3%1st Place
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11.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.911.8%1st Place
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11.03St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.4%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College2.108.5%1st Place
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5.33Boston College2.5612.9%1st Place
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7.85Harvard University1.905.6%1st Place
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7.78Georgetown University1.866.4%1st Place
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13.45University of Vermont0.241.2%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University1.154.5%1st Place
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7.73Tulane University1.737.2%1st Place
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9.79Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
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9.82University of Hawaii1.053.9%1st Place
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7.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.9%1st Place
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12.42Boston University0.371.9%1st Place
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13.56Florida State University0.051.3%1st Place
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11.19Fordham University0.713.5%1st Place
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14.55Northwestern University-0.541.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.3% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| Sarah Young | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.9% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 17.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.4% |
| Niah Ford | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 20.3% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 16.9% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.