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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.63+0.82vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.21+1.63vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.18+0.68vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.58+0.93vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18-1.32vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend0.24-2.40vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.56-0.61vs Predicted
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8American University-1.07-2.24vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82Christopher Newport University1.630.5%1st Place
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3.63William and Mary0.210.1%1st Place
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3.68Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.68Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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3.6Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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6.39Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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5.76American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.19University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 52.3% | 26.2% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 12.2% | 16.6% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 11.3% | 17.2% | 19.5% | 19.9% | 15.8% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 11.3% | 17.2% | 19.5% | 19.9% | 15.8% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 11.8% | 18.5% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 20.9% | 38.1% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 23.3% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 1.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 25.8% | 28.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.