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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.63+0.81vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.18+1.70vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.18+0.70vs Predicted
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4Penn State Behrend0.24-0.42vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.21-1.34vs Predicted
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6American University-1.07-0.24vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.56-0.57vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.39-2.79vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.58-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81Christopher Newport University1.630.5%1st Place
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3.7Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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3.7Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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3.58Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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3.66William and Mary0.210.1%1st Place
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5.76American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.43Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.390.0%1st Place
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4.85University of Maryland-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 51.9% | 26.7% | 13.7% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 11.3% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 19.9% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 11.3% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 19.9% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 12.6% | 18.2% | 20.6% | 18.3% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 12.2% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 19.9% | 16.8% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 25.4% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 21.5% | 39.0% | 0.0% |
| John Carty | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 26.0% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 4.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.