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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.63+0.81vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.21+1.65vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.18+0.70vs Predicted
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4American University-1.07+1.74vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18-1.30vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.58-1.06vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.39-0.82vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend0.24-4.38vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-1.56-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81Christopher Newport University1.630.5%1st Place
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3.65William and Mary0.210.1%1st Place
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3.7Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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5.74American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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3.7Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.390.0%1st Place
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3.62Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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6.36Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 51.5% | 27.4% | 13.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 12.2% | 16.6% | 20.5% | 19.5% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 11.4% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 2.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 22.9% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 11.4% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| John Carty | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 22.1% | 32.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 12.8% | 17.4% | 20.4% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 1.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 15.9% | 25.5% | 34.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.