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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.63+0.66vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.63+4.16vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.21+0.27vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.58+0.49vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.56+1.07vs Predicted
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6American University-1.07-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-1.13vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-1.63-1.84vs Predicted
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9Penn State Behrend0.24-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66Christopher Newport University1.630.6%1st Place
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6.16Virginia Tech-1.630.0%1st Place
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3.27William and Mary0.210.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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6.07Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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5.23American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
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6.16Virginia Tech-1.630.0%1st Place
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3.24Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 56.3% | 27.6% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 22.3% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 13.5% | 20.4% | 24.9% | 19.9% | 12.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 6.5% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 20.0% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 23.5% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 19.3% | 20.3% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 22.3% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 12.5% | 23.9% | 25.6% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.