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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+0.85vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.68+0.25vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend-1.07+1.61vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.29+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.45+0.19vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.29-1.02vs Predicted
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7American University-1.50-1.73vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19-3.18vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-2.82-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Christopher Newport University1.080.5%1st Place
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2.25William and Mary0.680.3%1st Place
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4.61Penn State Behrend-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.98Virginia Tech-1.290.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Maryland-1.450.0%1st Place
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4.98Virginia Tech-1.290.0%1st Place
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5.27American University-1.500.0%1st Place
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4.82University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
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7.03Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 46.6% | 31.3% | 15.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 29.9% | 35.6% | 20.3% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 5.5% | 8.2% | 15.7% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Garvey | 4.0% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 4.2% | 4.0% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 17.4% | 19.2% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vance | 4.7% | 6.6% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 17.5% | 59.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.