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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.68+1.22vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.08-0.14vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.29+1.93vs Predicted
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4Penn State Behrend-1.07+0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.45+0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19-1.22vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.29-2.07vs Predicted
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8American University-1.50-2.67vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-2.82-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22William and Mary0.680.3%1st Place
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1.86Christopher Newport University1.080.5%1st Place
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4.93Virginia Tech-1.290.0%1st Place
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4.63Penn State Behrend-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.21University of Maryland-1.450.0%1st Place
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4.78University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.1%1st Place
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4.93Virginia Tech-1.290.0%1st Place
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5.33American University-1.500.0%1st Place
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7.03Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Whisner | 32.4% | 33.7% | 19.5% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 45.5% | 32.2% | 15.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 4.2% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 4.8% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Eric Garvey | 3.7% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vance | 5.0% | 6.0% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 20.2% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 4.2% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 18.7% | 20.7% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 16.5% | 59.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.