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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+0.48vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.29+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19+1.08vs Predicted
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4American University-1.50+0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.45-0.43vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.29-1.72vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.82-0.41vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-1.07-4.04vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-2.64-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Christopher Newport University1.080.7%1st Place
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4.28Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.1%1st Place
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4.65American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Maryland-1.450.1%1st Place
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4.28Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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6.59Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
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3.96Penn State Behrend-1.070.1%1st Place
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6.38William and Mary-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 65.6% | 24.1% | 7.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 5.9% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vance | 7.4% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 5.2% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Garvey | 5.5% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 5.9% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 21.4% | 44.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 7.9% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Levi Nathans | 0.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 28.1% | 34.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.