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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.29+3.25vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.08-0.52vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19+1.13vs Predicted
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4American University-1.50+0.64vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend-1.07-1.06vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.29-1.75vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.45-2.48vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-2.64-1.56vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-2.82-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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1.48Christopher Newport University1.080.7%1st Place
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4.13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.1%1st Place
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4.64American University-1.500.0%1st Place
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3.94Penn State Behrend-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.25Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.52University of Maryland-1.450.1%1st Place
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6.44William and Mary-2.640.0%1st Place
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6.6Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 5.9% | 14.2% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 65.8% | 23.6% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vance | 7.7% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 4.8% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 7.0% | 16.8% | 21.1% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 5.9% | 14.2% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Garvey | 5.6% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Levi Nathans | 1.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 24.1% | 38.9% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 25.5% | 41.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.