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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.27+7.36vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.42+2.47vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.62+4.15vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.08+1.66vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.56+5.82vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.37+2.09vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.57+0.34vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.85-1.53vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.94+0.61vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.65-2.82vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.75-4.21vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.79-1.61vs Predicted
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13Tulane University0.81-2.74vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.13-5.11vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.24-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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4.47Tulane University2.420.2%1st Place
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7.15Tulane University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.66Tulane University2.080.1%1st Place
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10.82Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
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8.09University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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7.34Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.47Tulane University1.850.1%1st Place
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9.61Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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7.18Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.79Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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10.39Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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10.26Tulane University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.89University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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8.52Jacksonville University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Keswater | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% |
| Zander King | 17.0% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Rielly | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Ella DesChamps | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 23.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Lucy Spearman | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Jack Solmo | 10.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Matthew King | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% |
| Emily Allen | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 16.5% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 15.3% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.