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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+6.33vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+5.56vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.48vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+5.51vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.56+0.42vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.10+1.30vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.84+0.22vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.71+3.19vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.15+0.28vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.86-2.19vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.24vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-1.12vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.73-5.12vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.24-0.55vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.05-5.32vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-3.54vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University-0.54-2.42vs Predicted
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18Florida State University0.05-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.6%1st Place
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7.56Harvard University1.907.0%1st Place
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4.48Yale University2.5517.6%1st Place
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9.51Northeastern University1.184.7%1st Place
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5.42Boston College2.5612.1%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College2.109.2%1st Place
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7.22Bowdoin College1.847.7%1st Place
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11.19Fordham University0.712.6%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University1.155.3%1st Place
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7.81Georgetown University1.866.7%1st Place
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11.24St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.6%1st Place
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10.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.0%1st Place
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7.88Tulane University1.735.9%1st Place
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13.45University of Vermont0.241.2%1st Place
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9.68University of Hawaii1.053.7%1st Place
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12.46Boston University0.372.1%1st Place
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14.58Northwestern University-0.540.9%1st Place
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13.75Florida State University0.051.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.6% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.9% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 17.7% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 10.8% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 32.0% |
| Niah Ford | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.