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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.27+7.36vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.62+5.00vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.75+3.67vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.57+3.40vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.56+5.81vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.13+2.92vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.42-2.38vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.08-2.29vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.65-2.01vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.24-1.35vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.85-4.51vs Predicted
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12Tulane University0.81-1.65vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.79-2.62vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.37-5.96vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.94-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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7.0Tulane University1.620.1%1st Place
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6.67Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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7.4Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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10.81Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
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8.92University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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4.62Tulane University2.420.2%1st Place
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5.71Tulane University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.99Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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8.65Jacksonville University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.49Tulane University1.850.1%1st Place
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10.35Tulane University0.810.0%1st Place
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10.38Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.04University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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9.6Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Keswater | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% |
| Bobby Rielly | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Lucy Spearman | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Ella DesChamps | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 23.3% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% |
| Zander King | 16.5% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Emily Allen | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Brent Penwarden | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% |
| Jack Solmo | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 16.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 15.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Matthew King | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.