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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.94+8.40vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.75+4.64vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.42+1.54vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.85+2.39vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.65+2.22vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.08-0.36vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.57+0.36vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.13+0.97vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.27-0.61vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.37-1.80vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.62-3.73vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.56-0.86vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.79-2.64vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.24-5.47vs Predicted
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15Tulane University0.81-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.4Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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6.64Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.54Tulane University2.420.2%1st Place
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6.39Tulane University1.850.1%1st Place
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7.22Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.64Tulane University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.36Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.97University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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8.39University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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8.2University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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7.27Tulane University1.620.1%1st Place
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11.14Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
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10.36Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.53Jacksonville University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.97Tulane University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 7.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Zander King | 16.9% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Solmo | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Emily Allen | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Spearman | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% |
| Bobby Rielly | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Ella DesChamps | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 23.6% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 16.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.