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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.85+5.32vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.62+4.99vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.75+3.67vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.65+3.10vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.57+2.49vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.24+2.59vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.42-2.40vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.08-2.32vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.94+0.59vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.79+0.22vs Predicted
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11Tulane University0.81-0.94vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.37-3.68vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.13-3.81vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.27-5.62vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.56-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Tulane University1.850.1%1st Place
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6.99Tulane University1.620.1%1st Place
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6.67Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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7.1Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.49Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.59Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.6Tulane University2.420.2%1st Place
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5.68Tulane University2.080.1%1st Place
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9.59Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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10.22Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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10.06Tulane University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.32University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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9.19University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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8.38University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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10.79Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Solmo | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Bobby Rielly | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Emily Allen | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Lucy Spearman | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Brent Penwarden | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Zander King | 17.4% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Matthew King | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 16.3% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 17.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Jordan Byrd | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Ella DesChamps | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.