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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.57+6.27vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.27+6.27vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.42+1.50vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.08+1.60vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.62+2.36vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.94+3.68vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.85-0.62vs Predicted
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8Tulane University0.81+2.05vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.37-1.00vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.65-2.83vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.79-0.86vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.75-4.98vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.24-4.14vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.13-5.12vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.56-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.27University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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4.5Tulane University2.420.2%1st Place
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5.6Tulane University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.36Tulane University1.620.1%1st Place
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9.68Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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6.38Tulane University1.850.1%1st Place
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10.05Tulane University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.0University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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7.17Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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10.14Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.02Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.86Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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8.88University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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10.81Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Spearman | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Zander King | 17.2% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Bobby Rielly | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Matthew King | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% |
| Jack Solmo | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 14.7% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Emily Allen | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 17.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Brent Penwarden | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% |
| Ella DesChamps | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.