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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.85+6.88vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.42+3.60vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.79+9.41vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.74+4.01vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.08+1.73vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.65+2.41vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.62+1.65vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.75-0.04vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.13+1.71vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.94+1.78vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.27-0.74vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.24-1.39vs Predicted
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13Tulane University0.81-1.12vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.37-4.64vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.57-6.26vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.12-5.18vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University0.56-3.88vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.70-9.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88Tulane University1.850.1%1st Place
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5.6Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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12.41Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.01Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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6.73Tulane University2.080.1%1st Place
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8.41Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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8.65Tulane University1.620.1%1st Place
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7.96Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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10.71University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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11.78Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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10.26University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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10.61Jacksonville University1.240.0%1st Place
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11.88Tulane University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.36University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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8.74Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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10.82Eckerd College1.120.0%1st Place
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13.12Jacksonville University0.560.0%1st Place
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8.08Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Solmo | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Zander King | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emily Allen | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Bobby Rielly | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Jordan Byrd | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Matthew King | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| Brent Penwarden | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.7% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Lucy Spearman | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Griffin Richardson | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
| Ella DesChamps | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 22.7% |
| matthew Monts | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.