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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.74+4.15vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+1.44vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.41+3.23vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.64+4.76vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.33+1.30vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.61-0.31vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.00+0.58vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.02-0.69vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-1.70vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.16-3.11vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.68+0.87vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.07-2.02vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-1.06-0.26vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.39-5.37vs Predicted
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16Bates College-1.38-1.61vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.36-2.51vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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3.44Roger Williams University2.400.2%1st Place
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6.23University of Rhode Island1.410.1%1st Place
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8.76Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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5.69Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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7.31University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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6.89Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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12.87University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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10.98Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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13.74Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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9.63University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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14.39Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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14.49University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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12.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 12.3% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 24.6% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Polek | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Adam Strobridge | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Jake Lacoche | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 10.2% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 19.3% |
| James Sullivan | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 30.9% |
| Robert Caldwell | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 29.5% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.