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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.64+7.45vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.41+3.23vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.74+1.29vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.16+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.33+0.62vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.15vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.00-1.62vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.07+1.13vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.61-5.49vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.02-4.41vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.39-3.53vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.68-1.21vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-2.67vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.65vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.38-2.43vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-1.06-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
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3.46Roger Williams University2.400.2%1st Place
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6.23University of Rhode Island1.410.1%1st Place
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5.29Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.85Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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11.13Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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5.51Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.59University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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9.47University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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12.79University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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12.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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14.35University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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14.57Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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13.84Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keller Morrison | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 23.8% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Polek | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Strobridge | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Adam Larzelere | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Jake Lacoche | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 10.6% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 7.4% |
| Robert Caldwell | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 30.1% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 23.6% | 28.5% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.