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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.74+4.12vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.61+3.50vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.16+4.00vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.40-0.47vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+2.01vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.41+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.33-0.54vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.64+0.52vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.07+1.15vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.02-3.64vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.68+0.81vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-0.75vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.39-4.35vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.36-0.50vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.06-2.30vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.38-2.50vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.00-10.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.5Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.0Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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3.53Roger Williams University2.400.2%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Rhode Island1.410.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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8.52Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
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11.15Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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7.36University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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12.81University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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12.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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9.65University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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14.5University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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13.7Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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14.5Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 23.8% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Polek | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Strobridge | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Grace Cannon | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jake Lacoche | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 11.6% |
| Caleb Burt | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 6.7% |
| James Sullivan | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Robert Caldwell | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 20.8% | 31.5% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 22.3% | 17.5% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 21.0% | 29.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.