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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.16+5.82vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.74+3.13vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+0.53vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.64+4.71vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.07+5.89vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.41+0.39vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.61-1.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.00-0.60vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.33-2.40vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.02-2.65vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.73vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.39-3.53vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-1.78vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.68-2.09vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.06-2.28vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.36-2.51vs Predicted
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18Bates College-1.38-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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5.13Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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3.53Roger Williams University2.400.2%1st Place
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8.71Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
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10.89Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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6.39University of Rhode Island1.410.1%1st Place
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5.56Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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7.35University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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9.47University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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12.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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12.91University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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13.72Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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14.49University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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14.55Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl Lattanzi | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 23.0% | 19.7% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| John Polek | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 7.1% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Strobridge | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Caleb Burt | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 7.0% |
| Jake Lacoche | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 11.3% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 21.0% | 18.7% |
| Robert Caldwell | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 21.2% | 29.0% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 22.1% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.