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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.90+6.80vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.52vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.10+4.38vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.84+3.43vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+4.92vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56-0.53vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.37vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.15+1.33vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.24+4.58vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.73-1.95vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.42vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-0.78vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.05-2.92vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.86-6.24vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.71-3.76vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-3.26vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.55-5.14vs Predicted
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18Florida State University0.05-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8Harvard University1.906.3%1st Place
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4.52Yale University2.5516.2%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College2.107.6%1st Place
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7.43Bowdoin College1.847.4%1st Place
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9.92Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
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5.47Boston College2.5613.1%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.0%1st Place
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9.33Tufts University1.154.3%1st Place
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13.58University of Vermont0.241.7%1st Place
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8.05Tulane University1.736.3%1st Place
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11.42St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.5%1st Place
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11.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.4%1st Place
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10.08University of Hawaii1.054.0%1st Place
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7.76Georgetown University1.867.0%1st Place
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11.24Fordham University0.712.5%1st Place
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12.74Boston University0.372.3%1st Place
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11.86Northwestern University0.553.1%1st Place
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13.83Florida State University0.051.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.2% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 22.6% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 13.0% |
| Marina Hutzler | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% |
| Niah Ford | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.