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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.74+4.04vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.00+5.44vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.61+2.56vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.41+2.27vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.33+1.25vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.40-2.38vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.16+0.03vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.64+0.55vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-1.67vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.07+0.01vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+0.25vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.39-3.52vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.02-6.42vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.36-0.48vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.68-3.28vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.38-2.46vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-1.06-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.56Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Rhode Island1.410.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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3.62Roger Williams University2.400.2%1st Place
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7.03Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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8.55Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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11.01Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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12.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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9.48University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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7.58University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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14.52University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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12.72University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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14.54Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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13.82Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 13.0% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Polek | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Strobridge | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 22.0% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Caleb Burt | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 18.0% | 12.0% | 6.3% |
| James Sullivan | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Caldwell | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 23.6% | 30.1% |
| Jake Lacoche | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 10.1% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 20.3% | 30.6% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 19.5% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.