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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+7.37vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.75+2.53vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+2.88vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.56+0.94vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.90+8.33vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.27-0.10vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.35+2.15vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.06-1.50vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+0.45vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.84-2.40vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-1.04vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.02-5.01vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.13-2.22vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.86-0.90vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46+0.04vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.78-2.75vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.36-2.14vs Predicted
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18Bates College-0.32-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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5.88Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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4.94Roger Williams University1.560.1%1st Place
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13.33Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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5.9Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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9.15University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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7.6Brown University0.840.1%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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6.99Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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10.78University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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13.1Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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15.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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13.25University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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14.86University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.39Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Max Sigel | 12.9% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 14.9% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 12.6% |
| Marina Garrido | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Johnson | 8.4% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Lucian Sharpe | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| John Divelbiss | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 10.2% |
| Kolby Seibert | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 30.2% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 10.8% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 28.2% |
| Amanda Yolles | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.