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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+7.77vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.06+5.06vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.84+4.96vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+3.19vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31+1.33vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.56-0.69vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.90+7.36vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.27-1.51vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.75-4.25vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.35-0.32vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.82-3.08vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.78+2.33vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-3.02vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.13-2.26vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.86-0.96vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-5.62vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.32-4.71vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46-1.98vs Predicted
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19University of New Hampshire-1.36-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
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7.96Brown University0.840.1%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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6.33Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University1.560.1%1st Place
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14.36Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Rhode Island1.750.2%1st Place
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9.68University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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7.92McGill University0.820.1%1st Place
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14.33University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.74University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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14.04Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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10.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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12.29Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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16.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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15.4University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Johnson | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucian Sharpe | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 6.2% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 14.2% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 12.9% |
| Marina Garrido | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 16.6% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Hal Clews | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 11.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Sean Lund | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 13.8% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Kolby Seibert | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 30.1% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.