← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.75+3.59vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire0.35+7.42vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University0.62+5.30vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University-0.90+9.32vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.27+0.81vs Predicted
-
6Brown University0.84+1.28vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University1.31-1.27vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.56-3.06vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.06-2.49vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.22vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-1.11vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire-0.78+1.41vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire-0.13-2.25vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46+0.76vs Predicted
-
15Bentley University-0.86-1.69vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.13vs Predicted
-
17Bates College-0.32-5.25vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University1.02-11.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.59University of Rhode Island1.750.2%1st Place
-
9.42University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
-
8.3Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
13.32Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
5.81Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
-
7.28Brown University0.840.1%1st Place
-
5.73Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
-
4.94Roger Williams University1.560.1%1st Place
-
6.51University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
-
9.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
-
9.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
-
13.41University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
-
10.75University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
-
14.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
-
13.31Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
-
14.87University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
-
11.75Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
-
6.59Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 15.4% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Moen | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 12.9% |
| Marina Garrido | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucian Sharpe | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 13.6% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 13.1% |
| Sean Lund | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 27.9% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 10.4% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 28.2% |
| Amanda Yolles | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| Niall Sheridan | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.