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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.02+5.97vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27+4.07vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+5.37vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.06+2.50vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.35+4.07vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31-0.29vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.84+0.34vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.75-3.58vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.56-4.02vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.24vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.90+2.54vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.13-0.83vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.78-0.10vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-4.46vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.86-1.71vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.32-4.33vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46-1.92vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.36-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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6.07Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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8.37Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
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9.07University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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5.71Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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7.34Brown University0.840.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Rhode Island1.750.2%1st Place
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4.98Roger Williams University1.560.1%1st Place
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9.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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13.54Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.17University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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12.9University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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13.29Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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11.67Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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15.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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14.62University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Johnson | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucian Sharpe | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 16.9% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 13.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 13.2% |
| Sean Lund | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 10.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 12.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 33.1% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.