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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.02+5.91vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+7.76vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+5.32vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27+1.81vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.35+3.99vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+3.80vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.90+6.42vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.06-1.44vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.75-4.63vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.84-2.44vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-5.14vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.56-6.79vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.78-0.01vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.32-2.65vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46+0.01vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.13-5.04vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.86-3.53vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.36-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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9.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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8.32Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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8.99University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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13.42Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Rhode Island1.750.2%1st Place
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7.56Brown University0.840.1%1st Place
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5.86Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.21Roger Williams University1.560.1%1st Place
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12.99University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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11.35Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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15.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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10.96University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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13.47Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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14.65University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 12.8% |
| Thomas Johnson | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 16.8% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucian Sharpe | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 13.3% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 10.6% |
| Amanda Yolles | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Kolby Seibert | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 19.1% | 29.8% |
| Sean Lund | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 14.0% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 19.1% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.