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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+4.44vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.18+7.90vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.84+4.41vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+0.51vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.15+4.47vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.90+1.61vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.86+0.74vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.73-0.01vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.10-1.46vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.38vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-3.62vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-0.69vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.55-1.05vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.71-2.72vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-2.36vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.24-2.38vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.05-3.03vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.05-8.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Boston College2.5612.0%1st Place
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9.9Northeastern University1.184.5%1st Place
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7.41Bowdoin College1.847.3%1st Place
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4.51Yale University2.5517.3%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University1.153.8%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University1.907.4%1st Place
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7.74Georgetown University1.867.1%1st Place
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7.99Tulane University1.735.9%1st Place
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7.54Dartmouth College2.107.4%1st Place
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11.38St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.2%1st Place
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.0%1st Place
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11.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.6%1st Place
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11.95Northwestern University0.552.4%1st Place
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11.28Fordham University0.712.9%1st Place
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12.64Boston University0.372.1%1st Place
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13.62University of Vermont0.241.2%1st Place
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13.97Florida State University0.051.4%1st Place
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9.85University of Hawaii1.054.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.3% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Young | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 13.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 20.8% |
| Niah Ford | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 26.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.