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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.41+1.95vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.41+0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.95-2.39vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.85-0.93vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.15-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of Wisconsin0.410.1%1st Place
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2.07University of Wisconsin1.410.3%1st Place
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1.61University of Minnesota1.950.5%1st Place
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4.07University of Chicago-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Illinois-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lewis | 11.2% | 18.4% | 41.3% | 22.5% | 6.6% |
| Patrick Egan | 30.0% | 40.4% | 23.3% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Grosch | 54.4% | 32.5% | 10.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lewis | 2.9% | 4.6% | 14.2% | 39.4% | 38.9% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 1.5% | 4.1% | 10.8% | 30.0% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.