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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.10+6.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.15+7.51vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.46vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+5.91vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.84+2.24vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.55-1.67vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56-1.55vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.90-0.18vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.86-1.10vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.71+1.42vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.55+0.88vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.73-4.11vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.05+0.89vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-2.83vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.05-4.98vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-3.43vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.24-3.16vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Dartmouth College2.107.3%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University1.154.5%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.5%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University1.183.8%1st Place
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7.24Bowdoin College1.847.2%1st Place
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4.33Yale University2.5518.0%1st Place
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5.45Boston College2.5613.6%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University1.907.3%1st Place
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7.9Georgetown University1.866.7%1st Place
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11.42Fordham University0.712.5%1st Place
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11.88Northwestern University0.552.4%1st Place
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7.89Tulane University1.736.9%1st Place
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13.89Florida State University0.050.9%1st Place
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11.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Hawaii1.053.2%1st Place
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12.57Boston University0.372.4%1st Place
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13.84University of Vermont0.240.8%1st Place
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11.15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.0% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Niah Ford | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 24.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 23.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.