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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.95+0.66vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.41+0.05vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-0.85+1.04vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.41-2.04vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.15-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66University of Minnesota1.950.5%1st Place
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2.05University of Wisconsin1.410.3%1st Place
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4.04University of Chicago-0.850.0%1st Place
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2.96University of Wisconsin0.410.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Illinois-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Grosch | 53.7% | 31.0% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Egan | 31.9% | 38.6% | 22.6% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Lewis | 3.3% | 5.6% | 13.2% | 39.4% | 38.5% |
| Peter Lewis | 9.4% | 19.8% | 42.1% | 22.3% | 6.4% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 1.7% | 5.0% | 10.3% | 29.1% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.