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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.64+3.49vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University0.17+3.91vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+1.98vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.50+1.08vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.59-0.41vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.13+4.47vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-0.55vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.64+0.52vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.07+1.27vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.68-1.28vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.02+2.11vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74+0.26vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.75-3.91vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.43+0.20vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.24-4.28vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-1.55vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49University of Southern California0.640.2%1st Place
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5.91San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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4.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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5.08University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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4.59Arizona State University0.590.2%1st Place
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10.47University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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6.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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8.52University of California at San Diego-0.640.1%1st Place
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10.27University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.72University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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13.11University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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12.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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9.09Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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14.2University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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10.72Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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14.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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9.68University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgana Manti | 15.5% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 13.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 15.7% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Groom | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Sebastien Franck | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 17.3% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 8.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 30.8% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 32.8% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.