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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+6.49vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.61vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+2.46vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.10+3.42vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.71+6.20vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+1.62vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.15+2.65vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.73-0.13vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.90-1.26vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.37vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.55+0.81vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.84-4.44vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-1.76vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.18-4.19vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.05-5.15vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-3.10vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.24-3.30vs Predicted
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18Florida State University0.05-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.0%1st Place
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4.61Yale University2.5517.3%1st Place
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5.46Boston College2.5612.7%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College2.107.4%1st Place
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11.2Fordham University0.713.0%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University1.867.0%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University1.154.3%1st Place
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7.87Tulane University1.737.1%1st Place
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7.74Harvard University1.906.9%1st Place
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11.37St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.1%1st Place
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11.81Northwestern University0.552.6%1st Place
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7.56Bowdoin College1.847.0%1st Place
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11.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.9%1st Place
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9.81Northeastern University1.184.2%1st Place
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9.85University of Hawaii1.054.5%1st Place
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12.9Boston University0.371.6%1st Place
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13.7University of Vermont0.241.1%1st Place
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13.71Florida State University0.051.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.3% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 5.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 21.6% |
| Niah Ford | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.