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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.41+1.95vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.95-0.35vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.41-0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.85-0.94vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.15-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of Wisconsin0.410.1%1st Place
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1.65University of Minnesota1.950.5%1st Place
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2.06University of Wisconsin1.410.3%1st Place
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4.06University of Chicago-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.29University of Illinois-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lewis | 11.6% | 18.1% | 40.7% | 23.1% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Grosch | 52.6% | 32.7% | 12.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Egan | 31.1% | 39.5% | 23.1% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Lewis | 2.8% | 5.4% | 13.2% | 39.8% | 38.8% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 1.9% | 4.3% | 10.5% | 29.8% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.