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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+4.99vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California-0.38+5.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.64+5.38vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University0.17+1.77vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.13+4.94vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.59-1.37vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.02+5.89vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.07+1.67vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-4.10vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.50-5.34vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.68-2.31vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.75-3.26vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-3.56vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.24-3.37vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-2.90vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-1.93vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.87-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Southern California-0.380.1%1st Place
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8.38University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.77San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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9.94University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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4.63Arizona State University0.590.2%1st Place
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12.89University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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9.67University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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4.66University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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8.69University of California at San Diego-0.680.1%1st Place
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8.74Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.44University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.63Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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12.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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14.07University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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15.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Groom | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Desai | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Aidan Boylan | 15.5% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 11.2% |
| Sean Lipps | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 15.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 8.3% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 22.6% | 25.5% |
| Marie Friauf | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.