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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University0.59+3.34vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University0.17+3.59vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.64+5.41vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.79vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-0.38+2.33vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+0.38vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.50-2.36vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+1.13vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.29vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74+2.09vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.75-2.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-2.02+0.94vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.24-2.38vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.07-3.98vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.68-6.48vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-1.95vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.87-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Arizona State University0.590.2%1st Place
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5.59San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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8.41University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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4.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Southern California-0.380.1%1st Place
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6.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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4.64University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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9.13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.29University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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12.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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8.86Arizona State University-0.750.1%1st Place
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12.94University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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10.62Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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10.02University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.52University of California at San Diego-0.680.1%1st Place
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14.05University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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15.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Boylan | 18.2% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jack Kisling | 14.5% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Desai | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 14.6% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 7.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 14.1% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 2.4% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Sebastien Franck | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 21.3% | 25.6% |
| Marie Friauf | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 19.0% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.