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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University0.17+4.55vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University0.59+2.41vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.50+1.70vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.07+4.76vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.64+2.60vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-0.38+0.53vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-1.84vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.68-0.28vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-2.02+2.95vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.73vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.75-3.26vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-0.81vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.24-3.34vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-5.65vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-1.85vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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4.41Arizona State University0.590.2%1st Place
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4.7University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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4.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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9.76University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.6University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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7.53University of Southern California-0.380.1%1st Place
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6.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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8.72University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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12.95University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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10.27University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.74Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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12.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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10.66Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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9.35University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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14.15University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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14.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Hopkins | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 15.9% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 13.6% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 15.1% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Amanda Brooks | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Eleanor Desai | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 14.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 10.5% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 23.0% | 28.5% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 18.7% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.