← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at San Diego-0.68+7.32vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego-1.07+7.84vs Predicted
-
3Arizona State University0.59+1.48vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-0.64+4.45vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-1.13+4.93vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-1.13vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-2.02+6.00vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego0.50-3.31vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California-0.38-1.30vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74+2.14vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-1.39vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University0.17-6.28vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University-0.75-4.12vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-7.70vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-0.99vs Predicted
-
16Arizona State University-1.24-5.40vs Predicted
-
17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.32University of California at San Diego-0.680.1%1st Place
-
9.84University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
-
4.48Arizona State University0.590.2%1st Place
-
8.45University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
-
9.93University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
-
4.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
-
13.0University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
-
4.69University of California at San Diego0.500.2%1st Place
-
7.7University of Southern California-0.380.0%1st Place
-
12.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.61University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
-
5.72San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
-
8.88Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
6.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
-
14.01University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
-
10.6Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
-
14.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Franck | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sean Lipps | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Boylan | 16.3% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Jack Kisling | 13.9% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 13.7% |
| Noah Barton | 15.4% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Desai | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 7.9% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 10.8% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Groom | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 18.7% | 30.7% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 19.2% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.