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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University0.59+3.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.50+2.46vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-2.02+9.39vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74+7.61vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.24+4.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.13+3.82vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.07+2.46vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University0.17-2.67vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-2.94vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-1.13vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California-0.38-3.76vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.75-3.66vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.43+0.57vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.68-5.71vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-10.45vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.87-1.34vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.68-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Arizona State University0.590.2%1st Place
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4.46University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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12.39University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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11.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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9.9Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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9.82University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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9.46University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.33San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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6.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Southern California-0.380.1%1st Place
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8.34Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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13.57University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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8.29University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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4.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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14.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.870.0%1st Place
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14.22University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Boylan | 19.1% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 15.0% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 8.7% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Eleanor Desai | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 18.9% |
| Sebastien Franck | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 15.9% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie Friauf | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 21.7% | 34.2% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 21.4% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.