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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.50+3.50vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.07+7.35vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+1.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.13+5.63vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.59-0.80vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University0.17-0.45vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-0.38+0.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.68+0.04vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-2.88vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.75-1.69vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.87+3.61vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-3.08vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.68+1.18vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-2.30vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-2.02-2.58vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.24-5.92vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5University of California at San Diego0.500.2%1st Place
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9.35University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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9.63University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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4.2Arizona State University0.590.2%1st Place
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5.55San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Southern California-0.380.1%1st Place
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8.04University of California at San Diego-0.680.1%1st Place
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6.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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8.31Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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14.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.870.0%1st Place
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8.92University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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14.18University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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11.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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12.42University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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10.08Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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13.64University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Barton | 15.3% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Kisling | 15.4% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 17.7% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Desai | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Marie Friauf | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 20.4% | 36.6% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 20.0% | 27.6% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 4.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 8.4% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 20.1% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.