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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.68+6.97vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California-0.38+5.09vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.59+1.32vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University0.17+1.44vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.50-0.48vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+0.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.13+2.71vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.07+1.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-2.68+5.40vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-5.51vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74+0.78vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-2.43+1.64vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.24-2.86vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-4.91vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-2.02-2.54vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.75-7.53vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97University of California at San Diego-0.680.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Southern California-0.380.1%1st Place
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4.32Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.44San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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4.52University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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6.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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9.71University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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9.36University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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14.4University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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4.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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11.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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13.64University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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10.14Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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9.09University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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12.46University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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8.47Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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14.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Franck | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Desai | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 14.8% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 14.8% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 20.0% | 31.4% |
| Jack Kisling | 15.4% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 5.6% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 20.9% | 21.2% |
| Gavin Hirz | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 9.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.