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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University0.17+4.30vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+3.81vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.50+1.50vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.38+3.22vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.59-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.07+3.71vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.68+1.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.02+4.28vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-4.32vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.37vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.24-0.83vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-2.43+1.66vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.75-4.48vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56+0.05vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-2.68-0.80vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-6.93vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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5.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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4.5University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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7.22University of Southern California-0.380.1%1st Place
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4.22Arizona State University0.590.2%1st Place
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9.71University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.19University of California at San Diego-0.680.1%1st Place
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12.28University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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4.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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9.63University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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10.17Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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13.66University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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8.52Arizona State University-0.750.1%1st Place
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14.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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14.2University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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9.07University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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11.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Hopkins | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 14.8% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Desai | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 18.0% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Sebastien Franck | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% |
| Jack Kisling | 12.3% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Gavin Hirz | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 20.5% | 20.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 27.1% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 19.7% | 30.2% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.