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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.41+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.41-0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.95-2.38vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.15-1.71vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-0.85-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Wisconsin0.410.1%1st Place
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2.07University of Wisconsin1.410.3%1st Place
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1.62University of Minnesota1.950.5%1st Place
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4.29University of Illinois-1.150.0%1st Place
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4.08University of Chicago-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lewis | 11.3% | 18.7% | 40.6% | 23.4% | 6.0% |
| Patrick Egan | 30.1% | 39.7% | 23.8% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Grosch | 54.5% | 31.6% | 11.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 2.0% | 3.9% | 10.1% | 31.5% | 52.5% |
| Nicholas Lewis | 2.1% | 6.1% | 14.1% | 37.0% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.