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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.90+6.83vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.10+5.46vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+2.38vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.84+3.51vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86+2.84vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.15+3.57vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18+3.15vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.55-3.51vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-1.54vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.48+2.77vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.71+0.53vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.55-0.02vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.05-3.11vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.05-0.16vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-3.84vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-3.43vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-5.39vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.73-10.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83Harvard University1.906.5%1st Place
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7.46Dartmouth College2.107.2%1st Place
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5.38Boston College2.5611.8%1st Place
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7.51Bowdoin College1.847.0%1st Place
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7.84Georgetown University1.867.1%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University1.154.8%1st Place
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10.15Northeastern University1.184.4%1st Place
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4.49Yale University2.5517.1%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.1%1st Place
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12.77University of Vermont0.482.0%1st Place
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11.53Fordham University0.712.8%1st Place
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11.98Northwestern University0.552.4%1st Place
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9.89University of Hawaii1.053.9%1st Place
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13.84Florida State University0.051.7%1st Place
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11.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.4%1st Place
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12.57Boston University0.371.9%1st Place
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11.61St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.2%1st Place
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7.96Tulane University1.736.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Young | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.8% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.1% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 15.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Niah Ford | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 27.3% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 14.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.